Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cambuur		Twente

	1	X	2
	7.00	6.25	1.30	Watch
	7.50	6.00	1.33
	9.50	5.80	1.27
	8.69	6.00	1.33
	7.72	5.63	1.34	Watch
	8.35	5.65	1.31
	7.23	6.78	1.34	Watch
	7.60	6.00	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.95 ↑ (6)	6.01 ↑ (4.33)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
12%

Draw
15.8%

Twente
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.1%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

20.2%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Cambuur - Twente Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Twente (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Twente will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 23. Jetten L. 6. Amofa J. (C) 4. Baouf I. 14. van Duijl B. 28. Costarelli M. 29. Henstra I. 3. Berkhout J. 8. Souren N. 10. El Arguioui R. 7. Bouhoudane S.	16. Drommel J. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 43. Nijstad R. 29. Adelgaard A. 6. Zerrouki R. 42. Weidmann D. 27. Orjasaeter S. 19. Taha Y. 7. Pjaca M. 9. Weghorst W.
Substitutes
17. Apkakou E. 13. Binder N. 2. Bouah D. 11. Hamache I. 24. Kalisvaart M. (G) 27. Kooistra W. 15. Kvam F. 33. Maertens M. 21. Meijster J. (G) 16. Mulders R. 9. Vink S. 48. Westerhof D.	38. Bruns M. 24. Kurowski K. 26. Nagel B. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 12. Peixoto G. 11. Rots D. 17. Thorvaldsen F. 1. Unnerstall L. (G) 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
Coaches
Plat J.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Nijstad R. ⚽, van Rooij B. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Drommel J. (A),
39', Souren N. 🟨,
40', Orjasaeter S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
46', Costarelli M. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Pjaca M. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
60', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
60', Weidmann D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
65', Amofa J. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
77', Pjaca M. ↓, Kurowski K. ↑,
77', Berkhout J. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
82', 0 - 4, Taha Y. ⚽,
85', van Rooij B. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
85', Adelgaard A. ↓, Peixoto G. ↑,
85', Henstra I. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Hamache I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1.

Cambuur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Twente has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Twente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cambuur has had a series of home games.

In this match, Twente is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Twente: Lemkin S. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Twente: 3.93% Cambuur: 0.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
23.08.26	Cambuur - Feyenoord	2:5 ✺
15.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - Cambuur	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cambuur - Excelsior	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Cambuur - Volos	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Cambuur - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLLLW
- FC Twente
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Twente	1:4 AET ✺
20.08.26	Twente - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.26	Twente - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	DAC Dunajská Streda - Twente	3:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.26	Heerenveen - Twente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
09.04.23	Twente - Cambuur	4:0
23.10.22	Cambuur - Twente	0:1
06.03.22	Twente - Cambuur	1:0
28.08.21	Cambuur - Twente	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.05.19	Twente - Cambuur	2:2
14.12.18	Cambuur - Twente	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.01.18	Twente - Cambuur	3:1

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