The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambuur 19.8%
Draw 20.9%
NEC Nijmegen 59.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.1%
18.9%
64.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.6%
18.3%
66.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
Cambuur - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 50.6% – 100%.
New Consensus by Tipsters:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 2. Bouah D. 4. Baouf I. (C) 14. van Duijl B. 28. Costarelli M. 33. Maertens M. 8. Souren N. 15. Kvam F. 10. El Arguioui R. 11. Hamache I. 13. Binder N.
1. Crettaz G. (G) 21. Storm T. 3. Sandler P. 66. Kabar A. 19. Tahaui A. 6. Nejasmic D. 18. Geiger D. 99. Bischoff C. 9. Chery T. (C) 20. Lebreton N. 14. Sierhuis K.
Substitutes
6. Amofa J. 17. Apkakou E. 3. Berkhout J. 7. Bouhoudane S. 30. Ceka J. 29. Henstra I. 23. Jetten L. 27. Kooistra W. 21. Meijster J. (G) 16. Mulders R. 22. Plogmann L. (G) 9. Vink S.
73. Bras G. 8. Hansen-Aaroen I. 34. Kers K. 30. Linssen B. 35. Monteiro J. 7. Mor E. 42. Moslih Y. 17. Nuytinck B. 12. Polster N. (G) 10. Tadic D. 77. Thomas A. 11. Willumsson W. T.
Coaches
Plat J.
Schreuder D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Hamache I. ⚽, van Duijl B. (A),
32', Bouah D. 🟨,
35', Storm T. 🟨,
38', Sandler P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Crettaz G. ↓, Polster N. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Hamache I. ⚽,
58', Tahaui A. ↓, Mor E. ↑,
58', Geiger D. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
58', Sandler P. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
64', Maertens M. ↓, Amofa J. ↑,
72', Kvam F. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
72', Binder N. ↓, Bouhoudane S. ↑,
74', Mor E. ↓, Kers K. ↑,
84', Hamache I. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
84', Bouah D. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
87', Lebreton N. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Henstra I. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
90+6', Kabar A. 🟨,
90+6', Henstra I. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 0.
Cambuur has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nijmegen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nijmegen is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cambuur: Asselman W.
(Inactive)
Visser D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nijmegen: Fonville D.
(Injury)
Kaplan A.
(Knee Injury)
Linssen B.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Cambuur: Bouah D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Nijmegen: Mor E.
(Inactive)
Nejasmic D.
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
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Jansen T. (G) 
Bouah D. 
Baouf I. (C) 
Costarelli M. 
Maertens M. 
Souren N. 
Kvam F. 
Binder N. 
Crettaz G. (G) 
Storm T. 
Kabar A. 
Nejasmic D. 
Chery T. (C) 
Bras G. 
Monteiro J. 
Mor E. 
Tadic D. 
Willumsson W. T. 
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