Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma)


	ADT Tarma		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5
	1.3	5	7
	1.28	5.6	9.5
	1.29	5.2	7.8
	1.27	5.89	9.8
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.29	5.6	8.8	Watch
	1.29	5.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.55)	5.32 ↑ (3.6)	8.49 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
71.7%

Draw
17.4%

Universidad San Martín
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad San Martín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

ADT Tarma - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Uni San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19).

Recent matches ADT is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad San Martín has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ADT could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ADT is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches ADT won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
05.10.22	ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
29.09.22	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	4:2 ✺
18.09.22	ADT Tarma - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWTT
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
09.10.22	Carlos Stein - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
04.10.22	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	1:3 ✺
26.09.22	Alianza Lima - Universidad San Martín	5:0 ✺
18.09.22	Universidad San Martín - Cajamarca	1:5 ✺
12.09.22	Sport Huancayo - Universidad San Martín	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.05.22	Universidad San Martín - ADT Tarma	2:0

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