Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24


	Manchester United		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.75
	1.55	4.5	5.9
	1.54	4.55	6.2
	1.56	4.59	5.8	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.55	4.44	6.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	4.4 ↑ (4.16)	5.9 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
62%

Draw
21.8%

Crystal Palace
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.7%	12.3%	7%

Manchester United - Crystal Palace Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Man Utd (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Crystal Palace (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Man Utd (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (46 of 56 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 92.17%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 2. Dalot D. 15. Yoro L. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 37. Mainoo K. 19. Mbeumo B. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Cunha M. 30. Sesko B.	1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 23. Canvot J. 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 22. Larsen J. S. 11. Johnson B.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 16. Diallo A. 39. Fletcher T. 26. Heaven A. 12. Malacia T. 3. Mazraoui N. 48. Moorhouse J. 25. Ugarte M. 11. Zirkzee J.	44. Benitez W. (G) 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 29. Guessand E. 19. Hughes W. 10. Pino Y. 34. Riad C. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lacroix M. ⚽, Johnson B. (A),
6', Kamada D. 🟨,
24', Shaw L. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
36', Dalot D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Henderson D. 🟨,
56', Lacroix M. 🟥,
57', 1 - 1, Fernandes B. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Larsen J. S. ↓, Riad C. ↑,
58', Johnson B. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
68', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
75', Sesko B. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
85', Kamada D. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
85', Maguire H. ↓, Heaven A. ↑,
86', Mbeumo B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
89', Heaven A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1.

Man Utd has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crystal Palace is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Man Utd is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Lerma J. (Muscle Injury) Mateta J. (Knee Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Calf Injury) Mount M. (Knock)

We predict that Man Utd will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Manchester Utd	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
23.02.26	Everton - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	West Ham United - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Manchester United - Fulham	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Arsenal - Manchester United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTWWW
- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Crystal Palace - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
22.02.26	Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.02.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Crystal Palace - Burnley	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.11.25	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	1:2
02.02.25	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	0:2
21.09.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	0:0
06.05.24	Crystal Palace - Manchester United	4:0
30.09.23	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	0:1
English League Cup
26.09.23	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	3:0
English Premier League
04.02.23	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	2:1

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