Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	AEK Larnaca		Paphos

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.60
	2.52	3.05	2.65
	2.63	3.45	2.7
	2.62	3.18	2.72	Watch
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.59	3.13	2.69	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.34)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	2.66 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
36.2%

Draw
29.3%

Paphos
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

AEK Larnaca - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Paleari A. (G) 9. Ivanovic D. 14. Layouni A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 21. Miramon 6. Pankov I. 17. Pileas K. 20. Repas J. 19. Trica A. 3. van der Hoorn M.	99. Majecki R. (G) 7. Bruno 4. David Luiz (C) 5. Goldar D. 14. Ioannou N. 18. Lele 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 88. Pepe 8. Quina D. 12. Sema K. 26. Sunjic I.
Substitutes
44. Adoni Z. 33. Andereggen N. 10. Chacon Y. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 2. Ioannou P. 23. Kohler S. 25. Kyriakou C. 28. Mrabti K. 29. Naoum G. 5. Olivan B. 51. Paraskevas A. (G)	33. Anderson Silva 20. Biel 30. Dragomir V. 60. Efzona C. 6. Guga 61. Kais M. 3. Mmaee S. . Noro J. 71. Papastylianou M. (G) 10. Patrao A. 82. Petrou P. (G) 2. Zague Y.
Coaches
Selles R.	Sa Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Quina D. 🟨,
33', Sunjic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Pileas K. ↓, Olivan B. ↑,
59', Ivanovic D. ↓, Chacon Y. ↑,
59', Repas J. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
60', Sema K. ↓, Biel ↑,
60', Lele ↓, Dragomir V. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Dragomir V. ⚽,
68', Trica A. ↓, Andereggen N. ↑,
73', Ioannou N. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
76', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Guga ↑,
77', Quina D. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
78', Pankov I. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
90+2', Miramon 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Inactive) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paphos: Jaja (Inactive) Kyriakidis C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
4	Pafos	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
06.09.26	Nea Salamis - AEK Larnaca	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia 29is Maiou	5:2 ✺
12.08.26	Asteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	3:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
07.09.26	Paphos - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
03.09.26	Omonia - Paphos	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
30.08.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Paphos	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Paphos - Dinamo City	4:2 AET ✺
20.08.26	Dinamo City - Paphos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
16.05.26	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	2:2
18.04.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:1
25.01.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:2
Cypriot Super Cup
30.10.25	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:2 penalties
Cypriot First Division
05.10.25	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	2:4
Cypriot Cup
24.05.25	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	1:0 penalties
Cypriot First Division
18.05.25	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	2:0

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