Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Nairobi United		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.68	2.92
	2.79	2.47	3.03	Watch
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.59	2.58	3.06
	2.83	2.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.41)	2.53 ↓ (2.85)	3 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nairobi United
34.1%

Draw
35.8%

AFC Leopards
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32.1%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

30.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nairobi United's performance.

AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Leopards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nairobi United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Leopards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Nairobi United - AFC Leopards Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nairobi United will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Leopards will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3).

Nairobi United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leopards is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leopards might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leopards	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Nairobi United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League
04.01.26	Shabana - Nairobi United	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Nairobi United - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Tusker - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Nairobi United - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Posta Rangers - Nairobi United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWTL
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
04.01.26	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
23.12.25	Bidco United - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
18.12.25	AFC Leopards - Ulinzi Stars	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWTW

Upcoming Matches