Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.08
	2.9	3.67	2.13
	50.00	13.50	1.00	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.15
	3.12	3.62	1.99
	2.83	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.79 ↑ (2.93)	5.2 ↑ (3.6)	1.92 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
11.5%

Draw
23.9%

Yeovil Town
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

25.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Telford United's form might have worsened.

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yeovil Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Telford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yeovil Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Telford United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Greenslade H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 2, Campbell T. ⚽,

Preview

Telford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Yeovil has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Yeovil may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Telford has had a series of away games.

Yeovil is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Yeovil Town - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 43.93%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
27.01.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	AFC Telford United - King`s Lynn Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.01.26	Hornchurch - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
English National League North
17.01.26	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	0:8 ✺
30.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - AFC Telford United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWL
- Yeovil Town
English National League
17.01.26	Brackley Town - Yeovil Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Yeovil Town - Alvechurch	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
03.01.26	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Yeovil Town - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Truro City - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWTL

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