Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Hornchurch		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.55	2.88
	1.47	4.19	6.48	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.75
	2.22	3.68	2.65
	2.28	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.7)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	3.47 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
46.4%

Draw
26%

AFC Telford United
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.1%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Hornchurch - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Sandat H. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Stenson M. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Walker R. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Hornchurch has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Telford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Hornchurch is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
17.01.26	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTW
- AFC Telford United
English National League North
17.01.26	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	0:8 ✺
30.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - AFC Telford United	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	AFC Telford United - Chester	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Buxton - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWWW

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