Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	AFC Telford United		York City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.6
	2.15	3.35	2.88
	2.2	3.4	2.85
	2.28	3.49	2.94
	2.55	3.1	2.6
	2.23	3.48	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.63)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
40%

Draw
27.3%

York City
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Telford United - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

York is Qualified for National League North (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Telford won 1.

Telford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

York is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Telford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
02.05.22	Southport - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	AFC Telford United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Chorley - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Hereford - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	AFC Telford United - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT
- York City
English National League North
02.05.22	York City - Fylde	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Farsley - York City	0:2 ✺
26.04.22	Chester - York City	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	York City - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Alfreton Town - York City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.02.22	York City - AFC Telford United	3:1
11.01.20	York City - AFC Telford United	2:0
12.10.19	AFC Telford United - York City	1:1
27.04.19	York City - AFC Telford United	1:0
27.10.18	AFC Telford United - York City	2:1
16.01.18	AFC Telford United - York City	3:5
05.08.17	York City - AFC Telford United	0:1

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