Match Info

Date: 18 April 2022, Monday


	Alfreton Town		York City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.07
	2.92	3.22	2.43
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	2.85	3.3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.34)	3.22 ↓ (3.28)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
30.5%

Draw
28.4%

York City
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.8%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.1%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Alfreton Town - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 1.

Alfreton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

York is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently York have a series of guest games.

York will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
15.04.22	Chorley - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Alfreton Town - Darlington	0:0 ✺
05.04.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Alfreton Town	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Hereford - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Alfreton Town - Southport	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.3 WTWWT
- York City
English National League North
15.04.22	York City - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
12.04.22	Chorley - York City	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Brackley Town - York City	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Kettering Town - York City	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
02.04.22	Bromley - York City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.12.21	York City - Alfreton Town	1:0
06.02.21	Alfreton Town - York City	Canceled
07.03.20	Alfreton Town - York City	1:3
30.11.19	York City - Alfreton Town	1:0
02.02.19	Alfreton Town - York City	2:3
11.08.18	York City - Alfreton Town	1:2
24.02.18	York City - Alfreton Town	1:1

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