Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Chester		York City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.7	3
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.19	3.8	3.01
	2.15	3.8	3.01
	2.15	3.6	2.9
	2.18	3.64	3.04	Watch
	2.18	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.96)	3.67 ↑ (3.47)	3 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
43%

Draw
25.6%

York City
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chester's performance.

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chester that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Chester - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chester will win (votes: 3 - 75%). York will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 6. Williams M. 4. Weeks D. 33. Edwards L. 25. Roberts K. 8. Glendon G. (C) 18. Sparrow T. 10. Whitehouse E. 3. Taylor J. 11. Thomas A. 19. Daly R.	13. Stockdale D. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. 5. Cordner T. 15. Howe C. 37. Smith W. 6. McLaughlin P. 10. De Castro Q. 30. Woodyard A. 39. Green O. 21. Kennedy K. 14. John-Lewis L. N. (C)
Substitutes
5. Burke H. 9. Caton C. 23. Coates K. 13. Davies B. 14. Evans C. 22. Heywood O. 29. Maguire F. 20. Murray I. 24. Rosenblatt O.	9. Akinyemi D. 26. Barrow S. 20. Burgess S. 8. Dyson O. 16. Hancox M. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 23. Siziba Z. 35. Watson R. (G)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chester won 0.

Chester in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches York is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
28.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Chester	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Southport - Chester	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Chester - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Hartlepool United - Chester	0:2 ✺
English National League North
07.10.23	Chester - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW
- York City
English National League
28.10.23	York City - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Chesterfield - York City	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Eastleigh - York City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Needham Market - York City	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	York City - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.04.22	Chester - York City	0:1
23.10.21	York City - Chester	1:0
05.12.20	York City - Chester	2:1
01.02.20	York City - Chester	4:2
26.10.19	Chester - York City	0:1
13.04.19	Chester - York City	2:2
13.11.18	York City - Chester	0:0

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