Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	York City		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.89	3.45	3.45
	1.9	3.4	3.55
	1.83	3.67	4.05
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.83	3.48	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	3.43 ↓ (3.52)	3.8 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
49.4%

Draw
26.6%

Gloucester City
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4%)

York City - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 17).

York is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gloucester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently York have a series of guest games.

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches York won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League North
18.04.22	Alfreton Town - York City	3:0 ✺
15.04.22	York City - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
12.04.22	Chorley - York City	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Brackley Town - York City	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Kettering Town - York City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
18.04.22	Gloucester City - Hereford	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Kettering Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Gloucester City - Guiseley	4:1 ✺
02.04.22	AFC Telford United - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Gloucester City - Fylde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.08.21	Gloucester City - York City	4:0
31.08.19	Gloucester City - York City	2:3

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