Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	AFC Wimbledon		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.35	3.3	3.1
	2.31	3.1	3.05
	2.41	3.35	3.18
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.38	3.42	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
41%

Draw
28.8%

Bristol Rovers
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

28.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

21.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Wimbledon has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bristol Rovers has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wimbledon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
02.12.20	AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.20	AFC Wimbledon - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
26.11.20	Barrow - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
24.11.20	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Rochdale - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWLW
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
02.12.20	Bristol Rovers - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
29.11.20	Bristol Rovers - Darlington	6:0 ✺
English League One
24.11.20	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.11.20	Bristol Rovers - Chelsea U21	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
26.12.19	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:2
21.09.19	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	1:3
19.04.19	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	1:1
23.10.18	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	2:0
17.02.18	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	1:0
18.11.17	Bristol Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:3
08.04.17	AFC Wimbledon - Bristol Rovers	0:1

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