The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 32.4%
Draw 32%
Port Vale 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.9%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
27.9%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.3%
58.8%
5.9%
AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Wimbledon (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Wimbledon (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bishop N. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 15. Bauer P. 33. Ogundere I. 2. Asiimwe N. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 3. Seddon S. 11. Browne M. 9. Bugiel O. 7. Orsi-Dadomo D.
13. Amos B. (G) 4. Heneghan B. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 8. Garrity B. (C) 7. Byers G. 18. Croasdale R. 33. Hall G. 44. Cole D. 11. Curtis R.
Substitutes
16. Hackford A. 17. Hughes B. 5. Hutchinson S. 8. Maycock C. 18. McCoy-Splatt D. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 29. Sasu A.
10. Brown D. 36. Faal M. 1. Marosi M. (G) 17. Paton R. 26. Shipley J. 9. Stockley J. 12. Walters R.
Coaches
Jackson J.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Croasdale R. 🟨,
67', Croasdale R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
67', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
69', Reeves J. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Hackford A. ⚽,
76', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
77', Browne M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
80', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Cole D. ⚽,
90', Hall G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
90+1', Ogundere I. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
Wimbledon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Port Vale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O.
(Injury)
Hackford A.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Kyle John
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.36%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Bishop N. (G) 
Bauer P. 
Asiimwe N. 
Bugiel O. 
Byers G. 
Curtis R. 
McCoy-Splatt D. 
Sasu A. 
Faal M. 
Marosi M. (G) 
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