Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	AFC Wimbledon		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3.3	3.7
	2.03	3.2	3.7
	2.12	3.34	3.8
	2.1	3.3	3.5
	2.15	3.5	3.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	3.63 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
45.4%

Draw
28.6%

Cambridge United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Wimbledon's performance.

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambridge United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

AFC Wimbledon - Cambridge United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).

Wimbledon has the most likely position - 20 (34.51%), has project points - 42, has currently - 33, has a chance of relegated (40%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Cambridge has the most likely position - 18 (24.08%), has project points - 54, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 11, importance 32, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Wimbledon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
19.03.22	Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
12.03.22	AFC Wimbledon - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
08.03.22	Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Wigan Athletic - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Cambridge United
English League One
19.03.22	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
12.03.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Cambridge United	6:0 ✺
05.03.22	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
01.03.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Cambridge United	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Oxford United - Cambridge United	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
30.10.21	Cambridge United - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
English League Two
02.01.16	Cambridge United - AFC Wimbledon	1:4
18.08.15	AFC Wimbledon - Cambridge United	1:2
24.02.15	Cambridge United - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
29.11.14	AFC Wimbledon - Cambridge United	1:2

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