Match Info
League Two - Round 35Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
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Cambridge United |
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Milton Keynes Dons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.32 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
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2.38 |
3.05 |
3.05 |
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2.43 |
3.1 |
3.24 |
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2.48 |
3.06 |
2.96 |
Watch |
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2.38 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
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2.37 |
3.09 |
3.09 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.39 ↑ (2.38) |
3.05 ↓ (3.12) |
3.09 ↑ (2.98) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 39.1% | Draw 30.7% | Milton Keynes Dons 30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+0.6%) bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - MK Dons (2.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Knight B. 9. Appere L.
| 1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 32. Sanders J. 2. Jones G. 15. Offord L. 7. Crowley D. 22. Mellish J. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 29. Hepburn-Murphy R.
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| Substitutes |
25. Hughes B. (G) 19. Lavery S. 27. McConnell G. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 28. Raggett S. 8. Smith K.
| 10. Collins A. 9. Hogan S. 17. Leko J. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 16. Nemane A. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)
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| Coaches |
Harris N.
| Warne P.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Mellish J. 🟨,
- 55', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 65', Kaikai S. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 66', Mpanzu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 66', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 74', Crowley D. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 74', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Lavery S. ⚽,
- 80', Bennett L. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 80', Knight B. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
- 82', Mellish J. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
- 82', Sanders J. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
- 83', Nevitt E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Collins A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1.Now, both teams are in good form. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.There will not play in Cambridge: Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Inactive)
Paterson C.
(Inactive)In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
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Outrights of English League Two for now
Cambridge Utd: 22.29%
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | MK Dons | 41 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 76:41 | 35 | 75 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 57:30 | 27 | 73 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Cambridge United - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.04%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 31.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English League Two | | | 13.12.25 | Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United | 1:1 | | English League One | | | 11.03.23 | Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United | 1:0 | | 30.07.22 | Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons | 1:0 | | 19.03.22 | Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons | 0:1 | | 13.11.21 | Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United | 4:1 | | English League Two | | | 01.01.19 | Milton Keynes Dons - Cambridge United | 6:0 | | 13.10.18 | Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;