The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 27.5%
Draw 26.8%
Mansfield Town 45.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.5%
28%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
27%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
60%
40%
AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Tie (3.50) (votes: 79%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Bursik J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 15. Simmonds F. 6. Johnson R. (C) 3. Seddon S. 29. Sasu A. 8. Maycock C. 10. Nelson Z. 12. Smith A. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Stockley J.
1. Roberts L. (G) 9. Bowery J. 23. Oshilaja A. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 25. Reed L. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 33. Abbott G. 16. Thompson L. 3. McLaughlin S. 14. Smith M. 13. Russell J.
Substitutes
23. Cornick H. 25. Goma S. 5. Harrison O. 22. Horan R. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 2. Sessegnon S. 7. Tilley J.
20. Blake-Tracy F. 8. Bolton L. 24. Hendry R. 2. Knoyle K. 10. Maris G. 18. Oates R. 19. Roberts T.
Coaches
Jackson J.
Clough N.
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 15th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
Wimbledon is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Mansfield have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Wimbledon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Mansfield is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Wimbledon: Ogundere I.
(Inactive)
Stevens M.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Mansfield: Akins L.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wimbledon: McNeilly D.
(Inactive)
Richards D.
(Injury)
Sweeney D.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Mansfield: McGoldrick D.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Wimbledon has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:17 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wimbledon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Mansfield
9
3
3
3
13:15
-2
12
15
AFC Wimbledon
10
3
3
4
7:15
-8
12
Outrights of English League One for now
Mansfield: 1.67% AFC Wimbledon: 0.54%
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.48%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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Bursik J. (G) 
Yiadom A. 
Johnson R. (C) 
Sasu A. 
Hippolyte M. 
Bowery J. 
Sweeney R. (C) 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Russell J. 
Sessegnon S. 
Hendry R. 
Roberts T. 
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