The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 20.4%
Draw 23.3%
Port Vale 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.9%
25.1%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
24.6%
54.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
0%
92.3%
Accrington Stanley - Port Vale Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Accrington (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.75 - Port Vale (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Port Vale will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 20%). Port Vale (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kelly M. (G) 4. Grant C. 17. Matthews D. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. (C) 6. Coyle L. 22. Martin D. 15. Pye L. 10. Henderson A. 19. Popoola A. 8. Madden P.
13. Amos B. (G) 24. Kyle John 22. Debrah J. 4. Heneghan B. (C) 23. Shorrock J. 17. Paton R. 12. Walters R. 18. Croasdale R. 11. Curtis R. 9. Stockley J. 36. Faal M.
Substitutes
16. Bauress J. 20. Brown C. 18. Caton C. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 25. Smith J. 31. Tunstall F. 39. Woods J.
10. Brown D. 5. Hall C. 33. Hall G. 30. Lomax B. 1. Marosi M. (G) 14. Ojo F. 26. Shipley J.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Moore D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Love D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Debrah J. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
48', Madden P. 🟨,
51', Kyle John ↓, Lomax B. ↑,
67', Madden P. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
68', Popoola A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
69', Paton R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
70', Stockley J. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
78', Ward B. 🟥,
78', Kelly M. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Hall C. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
82', Grant C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Faal M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
88', Matthews D. 🟨,
90+2', Pye L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Port Vale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Port Vale is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Kelly M. (G) 
Grant C. 
Love D. (C) 
Coyle L. 
Faal M. 
Caton C. 
Brown D. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Ojo F. 
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