Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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Hungary	Arena 4, Match 4
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Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
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Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
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Netherlands	Viaplay
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Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
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United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+


	Port Vale		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	19	11	1.06	Watch
	32	10.5	1.08	Watch
	26.47	12.42	1.09
	30.00	14.25	1.02	Watch
	21	13	1.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	25.69 ↑ (16.68)	12.23 ↑ (10.11)	1.07 ↓ (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
3.7%

Draw
7.7%

Arsenal
88.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.6%

9.2%

85.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Port Vale - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 - Port Vale (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Arsenal (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Arsenal (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 22. Debrah J. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. (C) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 18. Croasdale R. 33. Hall G. 12. Walters R. 3. Headley J. 11. Curtis R. 17. Paton R.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 3. Mosquera C. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 22. Nwaneri E. 16. Norgaard C. 10. Eze E. 7. Saka B. (C) 23. Merino M. 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
7. Byers G. 2. Clark M. 44. Cole D. 36. Faal M. 8. Garrity B. 4. Heneghan B. 1. Marosi M. (G) 14. Ojo F. 9. Stockley J.	33. Calafiori R. 56. Dowman M. 6. Gabriel 14. Gyökeres V. 1. Raya D. (G) 41. Rice D. 12. Timber J. 19. Trossard L. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Moore D.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Eze E. ⚽, Lewis-Skelly M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Saka B. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
66', Hall G. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
66', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
70', Paton R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
70', Curtis R. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
71', Merino M. ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
71', White B. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
81', Clark M. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
81', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
81', Eze E. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Trossard L. ⚽, Saliba W. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Madueke N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Gordon L. (Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
20.09.25	Port Vale - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Exeter City - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Port Vale - Leeds United U21	4:1 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Reading - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
21.09.25	Arsenal - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWLW

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