Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, Sporty TV, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	21:00	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	beIN Sports MAX 6
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hungary	21:00	Arena 4, Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV2
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	03:00	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Port Vale		Arsenal

	1	X	2
	19	11	1.06	Watch
	32	10.5	1.08	Watch
	26.47	12.42	1.09
	30.00	14.25	1.02	Watch
	21	13	1.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	25.69 ↑ (16.68)	12.23 ↑ (10.11)	1.07 ↓ (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
3.7%

Draw
7.7%

Arsenal
88.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

5.6%

9.2%

85.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Port Vale - Arsenal Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 - Port Vale (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1, 1st Half - Arsenal (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Arsenal (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Arsenal (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 22. Debrah J. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. (C) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 18. Croasdale R. 33. Hall G. 12. Walters R. 3. Headley J. 11. Curtis R. 17. Paton R.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 4. White B. 2. Saliba W. 3. Mosquera C. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 22. Nwaneri E. 16. Norgaard C. 10. Eze E. 7. Saka B. (C) 23. Merino M. 11. Martinelli G.
Substitutes
7. Byers G. 2. Clark M. 44. Cole D. 36. Faal M. 8. Garrity B. 4. Heneghan B. 1. Marosi M. (G) 14. Ojo F. 9. Stockley J.	33. Calafiori R. 56. Dowman M. 6. Gabriel 14. Gyökeres V. 1. Raya D. (G) 41. Rice D. 12. Timber J. 19. Trossard L. 36. Zubimendi M.
Coaches
Moore D.	Arteta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Eze E. ⚽, Lewis-Skelly M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Saka B. ↓, Dowman M. ↑,
66', Hall G. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
66', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
70', Paton R. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
70', Curtis R. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
71', Merino M. ↓, Gyökeres V. ↑,
71', White B. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
81', Clark M. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
81', Martinelli G. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
81', Eze E. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Trossard L. ⚽, Saliba W. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arsenal is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Madueke N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Port Vale: Gordon L. (Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
20.09.25	Port Vale - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Exeter City - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Port Vale - Leeds United U21	4:1 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Reading - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
21.09.25	Arsenal - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.25	Arsenal - Nottingham Forest	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWLW

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