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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 36.1%
Draw 29.9%
Shrewsbury Town 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.3%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
19.4%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shrewsbury Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 17).
Wimbledon has the most likely position - 20 (12.32%), has project points - 52, has currently - 28, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 19 (12.68%), has project points - 53, has currently - 31, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wimbledon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Shrewsbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
Watch
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