The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 47.7%
Draw 28%
Shrewsbury Town 24.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
27.6%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
27.7%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Gillingham - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 30. Gale S. 4. Masterson C. 5. Smith A. 2. Hutton R. 14. McKenzie R. 8. Little A. (C) 3. Clark M. 23. Dack B. 19. Vokes S. 38. Hale R.
12. Brook W. (G) 23. Lee I. 5. Boyle W. 25. Ruffels J. 10. Sang T. 43. Gray W. 14. Perry T. 30. Berkoe K. 19. Morgan I. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
15. Akomeah T. 37. Booth S. 27. Khumbeni N. 7. McCleary G. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 25. Turner J. (G) 10. Williams J.
46. Aiston H. 1. Cox M. (G) 38. England I. 2. Hoole L. 48. Ihionvien B. 7. McDermott T. 26. Stubbs S.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Cowan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Perry T. 🟨,
36', Gale S. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
37', Hale R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gray W. 🟨,
65', Dack B. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
71', Lloyd G. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
71', Gray W. ↓, England I. ↑,
71', Lee I. ↓, Hoole L. ↑,
72', Marquis J. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
74', Vokes S. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
87', Morgan I. ↓, Aiston H. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, McCleary G. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 18 and 19)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
Gillingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shrewsbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Gillingham could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C.
(Injury)
Ogie S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Beckles O.
(Inactive)
Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Shrewsbury
13
5
3
5
16:20
-4
18
12
Gillingham
13
4
5
4
18:18
0
17
Outrights of English League Two for now
Shrewsbury: 2.11% Gillingham: 2.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.25%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.14%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.