Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 45

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Greenhous Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.5
	6.5	4.1	1.5
	7	4.2	1.5
	6.83	4.3	1.52
	6.5	4	1.5
	6.65	4.15	1.5	Watch
	6.8	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (4.94)	4.14 ↑ (3.75)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
14%

Draw
22.9%

Sheffield Wednesday
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

25%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	6.7%	40%

Shrewsbury Town - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 12 (32.19%), project points - 60, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 3 (91.72%), project points - 93, currently - 90, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (96%), a chance of promoted (30%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, small importance 12, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Shrewsbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sheff Wed is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sheff Wed is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
22.04.23	Bolton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
18.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Shrewsbury Town - Peterborough United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
22.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
18.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Burton Albion - Sheffield Wednesday	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
07.04.23	Oxford United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.11.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
02.01.22	Shrewsbury Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0
18.09.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
English FA Cup
30.01.16	Shrewsbury Town - Sheffield Wednesday	3:2

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