The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 32%
Draw 29.9%
Stevenage Borough 38.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.4%
29.9%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
29.9%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Postponed due to international match.
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 8th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
In recent outings, Wimbledon has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Stevenage is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wimbledon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Stevenage has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Wimbledon: Browne M.
(Inactive)
Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Stevens M.
(Injury)
Tilley J.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Stevenage: Pattenden J.
(Inactive)
Roberts J.
(Inactive)
Taylor T.
(Injury).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Wimbledon has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:19 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wimbledon against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 12:14 goals (averaging 1.7:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Stevenage
11
4
3
4
15:11
4
15
17
AFC Wimbledon
12
3
4
5
8:19
-11
13
Outrights of English League One for now
Stevenage: 0.75% AFC Wimbledon: 0.43%
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.35%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.