Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Portsmouth		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.5
	1.57	3.75	4.6
	1.65	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.76	3.8	4.29
	1.65	3.9	5.13
	1.55	3.75	4.6
	1.67	3.85	4.5
	1.63	3.85	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)	3.8 (3.8)	4.75 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
56.3%

Draw
24.3%

AFC Wimbledon
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z. 17. Rafferty J. (C) 4. Towler R. 23. Hume D. 11. Whyte G. 14. Stevenson B. 15. Saydee C. 24. Devlin T. 29. Martin J. 19. Yengi K.	1. Tzanev N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 6. Johnson R. 15. Pearce A. (C) 3. Brown L. 7. Tilley J. 16. Ball J. 29. Sasu A. 24. Lakin C. 8. Pell H. 9. Davison J.
Substitutes
9. Bishop C. 30. Jewitt-White H. 25. Kamara A. 35. Mottoh K. 1. Norris W. (G) 10. Scully A. 21. Sparkes J.	10. Al-Hamadi A. 12. Bass A. (G) 2. Biler H. 18. Bugiel O. 26. Currie J. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Jackson J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Portsmouth to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
16.12.23	Shrewsbury Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
11.12.23	Portsmouth - Bolton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Northampton Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
28.11.23	Burton Albion - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Portsmouth - Blackpool	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
16.12.23	Salford City - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
09.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Ramsgate	5:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	AFC Wimbledon - Notts County	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.23	AFC Wimbledon - Portsmouth	1:0
English EFL Trophy
01.11.22	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 penalties
English League One
18.01.22	AFC Wimbledon - Portsmouth	0:0
20.11.21	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:1
English EFL Trophy
07.09.21	AFC Wimbledon - Portsmouth	5:3
English League One
01.05.21	AFC Wimbledon - Portsmouth	1:3
19.01.21	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	4:0

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