The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 33.7%
Draw 27.2%
AFC Wimbledon 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26.4%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
26.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Crawley Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Trueman C. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 5. Barker C. 28. Flint J. 29. Showunmi T. 4. Bragg C. 6. Anderson M. 27. Khaleel R. 8. Holohan G. 11. Roles J. (C) 14. Hepburn-Murphy R.
22. Ward L. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 16. Ball J. (C) 3. Furlong J. 2. Biler H. 8. Maycock C. 10. Kelly J. 27. Williams M. 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 29. Sasu A.
Substitutes
10. Darcy R. 23. Ibrahim B. 19. Kelly J. 18. Quitirna A. 21. Sheik J. (G) 9. Swan W.
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 34. Hedges H. 35. Moran R. 11. Neufville J. 39. Pigott J. 12. Smith A.
Coaches
Elliot R.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Ball J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Maycock C. ⚽, Biler H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Stevens M. ⚽, Williams M. (A),
57', 0 - 3, Tilley J. ⚽, Maycock C. (A),
57', Khaleel R. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
58', Holohan G. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
58', Sasu A. ↓, Neufville J. ↑,
63', Barker C. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
67', Stevens M. 🟨,
68', Showunmi T. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
68', Roles J. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Darcy R. (Pen),
75', Kelly J. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
75', Tilley J. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Hepburn-Murphy R. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
87', 3 - 3, Flint J. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
88', Furlong J. ↓, Harbottle R. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 4, Pigott J. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 2.
Crawley has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Wimbledon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:11 (average 0.9:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
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Trueman C. (G) 
Anderson M. 
Holohan G. 
Roles J. (C) 
Kelly J. 
Williams M. 
Sasu A. 
Kelly J. 
Quitirna A. 
Hedges H. 
