The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 41%
Draw 26.8%
Swindon Town 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.4%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
27.2%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
50%
33.3%
Colchester United - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
1. Macey M. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 40. Terry F. 3. Iandolo E. 25. Barbrook F. 16. Read A. 7. Anderson H. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W.
1. Ripley C. (G) 33. McGregor J. 22. Knight-Lebel J. 5. Wright W. (C) 26. Batty J. 7. Nichols T. 44. Oldaker D. 6. Ball J. 25. Borland A. 30. Hoilett J. 23. Drinan A.
Substitutes
27. Akachukwu R. 22. Back F. 46. Chamberlain H. (G) 44. Kuffour S. 14. Lisbie K. 9. Tovide S. 17. Williams J.
31. Bodin B. 8. Clarke O. 24. Holman F. 3. Mabete F. 29. Olakigbe M. 28. Palmer O. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Cowley D.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ball J. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Read A. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Goodwin W. ⚽,
59', Nichols T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
59', Hoilett J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
59', Borland A. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
62', Read A. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
64', Iandolo E. 🟨,
69', 3 - 0, Anderson H. ⚽, Iandolo E. (A),
74', Wright W. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
74', Drinan A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
79', Goodwin W. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
79', Edwards O. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
90+2', Iandolo E. ↓, Back F. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.
Colchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Colchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Colchester could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H.
(Broken cheekbone)
Flanagan T.
(Inactive)
Mbick M.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glatzel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Snowdon J.
(Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Swindon
9
3
2
4
9:13
-4
11
19
Colchester
8
2
4
2
10:12
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.8%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Swindon Town - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Usa
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Macey M. (G) 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Borland A. 
Drinan A. 
Bodin B. 
Mabete F. 
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