The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 40.9%
Draw 27%
Grimsby Town 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
25.6%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
25.5%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
Swindon Town - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
1. Ripley C. (G) 6. Ball J. 17. Tafazolli R. 8. Clarke O. (C) 22. Knight-Lebel J. 18. Kilkenny G. 44. Oldaker D. 26. Munroe F. 9. Glatzel P. 28. Palmer O. 31. Bodin B.
38. O'Donnell R. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 21. Warren T. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. 20. McEachran G. 15. Turi G. D. 30. Vernam C. 32. Rose D. (C)
Substitutes
20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 45. Gray H. 3. Mabete F. 33. McGregor J. 11. Tabor J. 12. Ward L. (G) 5. Wright W.
14. Amaluzor J. 33. Casper C. (G) 9. Kabia J. 8. Khouri E. 29. Oduor C. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 7. Walker J.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽, Ball J. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Bodin B. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
40', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Bodin B. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
65', Tafazolli R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
67', Turi G. D. 🟨,
74', Oldaker D. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
74', Ball J. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
76', Turi G. D. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
79', Tabor J. 🟨,
82', Rose D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
86', Green K. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
86', McEachran G. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4.
Swindon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Grimsby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Nichols T.
(Yellow Cards)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pym C.
(Red Card)
Sweeney J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
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Ripley C. (G) 
Knight-Lebel J. 
Kilkenny G. 
Glatzel P. 
Bodin B. 
Turi G. D. 
Mabete F. 
Oduor C. 
Soonsup-Bell J. 
Walker J. 
Artell D. 
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