Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Friends Arena (Solna)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AIK		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.46	4.6	6.5
	1.48	4.3	6
	1.53	4.57	6.3
	1.47	3.9	6	Watch
	1.5	4.35	6.1	Watch
	1.47	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)	4.32 ↑ (4.25)	6.12 ↓ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
63%

Draw
21.7%

Helsingborg
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21.8%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	8.3%	29.2%

AIK - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

AIK has the most likely position - 6 (22.91%), has project points - 49, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 15 (78.98%), has project points - 22, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 19, small importance 21, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches AIK won 4.

Recent matches AIK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Helsingborg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match AIK is indisputable favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches AIK won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-21.

Including matches at home between the teams AIK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.10.22	Sirius - AIK	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	AIK - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Varbergs BoIS - AIK	2:0 ✺
04.09.22	AIK - Sundsvall	4:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
31.08.22	Hudiksvall - AIK	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLWW
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.10.22	Kalmar - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
18.09.22	Helsingborg - Malmö	1:2 ✺
12.09.22	IFK Göteborg - Helsingborg	1:3 ✺
05.09.22	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:2 ✺
28.08.22	Helsingborg - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.22	Helsingborg - AIK	1:2
23.08.20	AIK - Helsingborg	2:0
12.07.20	Helsingborg - AIK	2:0
20.07.19	AIK - Helsingborg	2:0
15.05.19	Helsingborg - AIK	1:3
Club Friendly
25.03.18	AIK - Helsingborg	1:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.08.16	AIK - Helsingborg	2:1

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