Match Info

Australia Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lambert Park (Sydney)


	APIA Leichhardt Tigers		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.66	Watch
	3.80	3.70	1.70
	3.90	3.75	1.68
	3.98	4.01	1.82
	3.96	4.2	1.74
	4	4.05	1.65
	3.89	3.84	1.8	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.66)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)	1.72 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
23.3%

Draw
23.4%

Melbourne Victory
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

23.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Melbourne Victory will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kalac O. (G) 24. Fong C. 4. Kishimoto E. 21. Kouta M. 16. Symons S. (C) 19. Monge F. 22. Caspers E. 7. Stewart J. 6. Deli F. 2. Kambayashi S. 17. Segreto J.	25. Duncan J. (G) 16. Inserra J. 4. Ziereis P. 3. Davidson J. (C) 18. Lino F. 6. D'Arrigo L. 8. Valadon J. 11. Clarismario 14. Grimaldi M. 23. Jelacic K. 44. Nduka C.
Substitutes
30. Denmead A. 99. Farinella F. 8. Konestabo M. S. 13. Lombardo C. 9. Ortiz P. 20. Parkes A. (G) 25. Shaw K.	29. Ghossaini M. 15. Lockyer T. 26. Mihailidis J. 9. Sawyer H. 36. Shillington H. 22. Stella X. 1. Warshawsky J. (G)
Coaches
Parisi F.	Savarese G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Lino F. ↓, Shillington H. ↑,
70', Segreto J. ↓, Ortiz P. ↑,
78', Clarismario ↓, Sawyer H. ↑,
78', Stewart J. ↓, Konestabo M. S. ↑,
86', Monge F. ↓, Denmead A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
93', 0 - 1, Sawyer H. ⚽, Jelacic K. (A),
105', Duncan J. 🟨,
105', Grimaldi M. ↓, Ghossaini M. ↑,
110', Caspers E. 🟨,
116', Ziereis P. ↓, Mihailidis J. ↑,
116', Jelacic K. ↓, Lockyer T. ↑,

Preview

APIA Leichhardt is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

APIA Leichhardt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, APIA Leichhardt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, APIA Leichhardt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of Australian Cup for now

Melbourne Victory: 68.68%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
15.08.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - SD Raiders	3:1 ✺
Australian Cup
12.08.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney United	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	St George Saints - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - University of New South Wales	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW
- Melbourne Victory
Australian Cup
08.08.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:2 penalties ✺
26.07.26	Kingborough Lions United - Melbourne Victory	0:4 ✺
Australian A-League
02.05.26	Melbourne Victory - Sydney	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Cup
21.08.18	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Melbourne Victory	3:2

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