Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	12:30	Disney+
Armenia	19:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	02:30	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	19:30	CBC Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:30	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	12:30	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	17:30	Max Sport 3
Canada	10:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	12:30	Disney+
Colombia	10:30	Disney+
Croatia	16:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	16:30	Sport 2
Denmark	16:30	Disney+
Finland	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	16:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	19:30	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
Greece	17:30	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	23:30	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	16:30	RTL+
Iceland	15:30	Viaplay
India	21:00	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	17:30	Sport 2
Italy	16:30	NOW TV, Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	21:30	Qazsport, Q Sport
Laos	22:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	16:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Montenegro	16:30	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	22:00	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	04:30	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:30	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	16:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Papua New Guinea	01:30	TVWan Sports
Peru	10:30	Disney+
Philippines	23:30	beIN Connect
Poland	16:30	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	15:30	DAZN 1
Romania	17:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	16:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	23:30	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	16:30	SportKlub 1
South Africa	17:30	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	16:30	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	16:30	Disney+
Switzerland	16:30	Blue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	22:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	18:30	TRT Spor
Ukraine	17:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	15:30	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	Paramount+
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+
Vietnam	22:30	ON Plus
International	15:30	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Astana		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.4
	6.5	4.75	1.38
	6.5	5	1.42
	7.84	4.84	1.4
	7.39	4.97	1.37	Watch
	7	4.8	1.33
	7.42	4.89	1.44
	6.5	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.96 ↓ (12)	4.91 ↓ (7)	1.4 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astana
13.5%

Draw
19.1%

Chelsea
67.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.7%

13.1%

79.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astana's performance.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	3.8%	92.3%

Astana - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Astana will win (votes: 2 - 3.8%). Chelsea will win (votes: 48 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 85.1% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 5. Kazukolovas K. 22. Marochkin A. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 45. Amanovic A. 3. Kalaica B. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 7. Ebong M. 28. Camara O. 9. Geoffrey C.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 2. Disasi A. (C) 4. Adarabioyo T. 34. Acheampong J. 40. Veiga R. 51. Rak-Sakyi S. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 7. Neto P. 38. Guiu M. 32. George T.
Substitutes
11. Ahanonu N. F. 21. Astanov E. 72. Basmanov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 4. Bystrov M. 93. Condric J. (G) 77. Gripshi N. 81. Karimov R. 8. Kuat I. 19. Osei B. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G) 97. Zhaksylykov N.	55. Ampah A. 47. Bergstrom L. (G) 33. Dyer K. 50. Merrick M. (G) 76. Mheuka S. 59. Murray-Campbell H. 49. Olise R. 43. Vale H. 63. Wilson K.
Coaches
Babayan G.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Guiu M. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
18', 0 - 2, Guiu M. ⚽,
27', Amanovic A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 3, Veiga R. ⚽, Dewsbury-Hall K. (A),
45', 1 - 3, Tomasov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amanovic A. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
46', Neto P. ↓, Ampah A. ↑,
67', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Vale H. ↑,
72', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
78', Guiu M. ↓, Mheuka S. ↑,
86', Rak-Sakyi S. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
88', Tomasov M. ↓, Gripshi N. ↑,
90+1', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Astana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelsea is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Astana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chelsea have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Casadei C. (Red Card) Fofana W. (Muscle Injury) James R. (Thigh Injury) Joao Felix (Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Madueke N. (Inactive) Mudryk M. (Illness) Palmer C. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Astana
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Astana - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
Kazakh League Cup
23.11.24	Zhenis - Astana	0:2 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.11.24	Astana - Zhetysu	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	Paphos - Astana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
03.11.24	Tobol Kostanay - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLL
- Chelsea
English Premier League
08.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	3:4 ✺
04.12.24	Southampton - Chelsea	1:5 ✺
01.12.24	Chelsea - Aston Villa	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Heidenheim - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

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