Match Info

USL League One

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chattanooga Red Wolves		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.90	4.50
	1.57	3.85	4.70
	1.58	4.09	5.05
	1.66	4.02	4.57	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.50
	1.66	3.91	4.69	Watch
	1.60	3.90	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.65)	3.95 ↑ (3.7)	4.66 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
57%

Draw
23.3%

AV Alta
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

23.9%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 2. Adewole T. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 6. Wessels W. 7. Hernandez O. 9. Mercer G. 20. Mensah R.	22. Smith D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 3. Ortiz A. 6. Lay O. 21. Villalobos J. (C) 99. Bahena Jr C. 24. Higareda S. 18. Aoumaich A. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
10. Bentley M. 19. Donoho N. 40. Engmann C. 12. Jerez R. (G) 23. Lelin Y. 30. Lombardi A. 17. Tapia O.	11. Aoumaich I. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 10. Ibarra M. 52. Ramos S. 12. Relerford N. 23. Thomas R. 15. Winum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Mensah R. ⚽, Wessels W. (A),
39', Mensah R. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
45+1', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
60', Hernandez P. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
61', Mercer G. 🟨,
67', Higareda S. ↓, Aoumaich I. ↑,
67', Lay O. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
71', Wessels W. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
71', Mercer G. ↓, Lelin Y. ↑,
71', Adewole T. ↓, Engmann C. ↑,
76', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Donoho N. ↑,
81', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
83', Ortiz C. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
88', Ortiz A. ↓, Relerford N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Chattanooga is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL Cup
11.07.26	San Antonio - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
USL League One
04.07.26	Corpus Christi - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Naples	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWW
- AV Alta FC
USL Cup
11.07.26	AV Alta - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
USL League One
05.07.26	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Union Omaha - AV Alta	3:1 ✺
24.06.26	Corpus Christi - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Greenville Triumph - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
28.03.26	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2
30.08.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta	0:0
12.04.25	AV Alta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2

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