The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 29.8%
Draw 25.3%
AV Alta 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
25.9%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
25.7%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richmond Kickers's form might have worsened.
AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AV Alta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AV Alta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Richmond Kickers - AV Alta Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Richmond Kickers will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Alta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 3. Anderson H. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 45. Hanson H. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 32. Bolduc M. 23. Freeman T. 12. O'Malley O. 19. Espinal D. 14. Vazquez Z.
22. Smith D. (G) 12. Relerford N. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 3. Ortiz A. 11. Aoumaich I. 21. Villalobos J. (C) 6. Lay O. 18. Aoumaich A. 99. Bahena Jr C. 7. Desdunes J.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 9. Kirkland J. 11. Pannholzer T. 6. Sasankhah A. 35. Sneddon J. (G)
9. Acuna J. 20. Antwi G. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 10. Ibarra M. 2. Ortiz C. 52. Ramos S. 15. Winum M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Freeman T. ⚽,
45+4', Freeman T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', Aoumaich I. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Villalobos J. ⚽,
50', Villalobos J. 🟨,
64', O'Malley O. 🟨,
66', Freeman T. ↓, Kirkland J. ↑,
68', Vinberg S. 🟨,
71', Hanson H. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
71', Aoumaich A. ↓, Acuna J. ↑,
72', Barnathan D. ↓, Sasankhah A. ↑,
75', Relerford N. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Kirkland J. ⚽, Bolduc M. (A),
77', Fillion Y. 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Bolduc M. ⚽, Espinal D. (A),
80', Bahena Jr C. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
81', O'Malley O. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
81', Relerford N. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
82', Vazquez Z. ↓, Pannholzer T. ↑,
83', Lay O. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
84', Desdunes J. 🟨,
86', Kirkland J. 🟨,
88', 3 - 2, Acuna J. ⚽, Ortiz A. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Richmond Kickers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Alta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Alta could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
AV Alta
29
8
8
13
35:42
-7
32
17
Richmond Kickers
29
6
5
18
30:60
-30
23
Last Results with these Odds
Richmond Kickers - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.81%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
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Fillion Y. (G) 
Anderson H. 
Layton S. 
Espinal D. 
Smith D. (G) 
Pehlivanov K. 
Aoumaich I. 
Lay O. 
Desdunes J. 
Pannholzer T. 
Antwi G. 
Winum M. 
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