Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Lancaster Municipal Stadium (Lancaster, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	AV Alta		Orange County SC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.40	3.40	1.88
	3.45	3.20	1.98
	3.46	3.70	1.89
	3.48	3.56	1.95	Watch
	3.40	3.25	1.85
	3.52	3.40	1.91	Watch
	3.45	3.25	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AV Alta
26.2%

Draw
26.6%

Orange County SC
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.2%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

24.3%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AV Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orange County SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

AV Alta - Orange County SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Doumbia D. (G) 15. Winum M. 4. Pajaro M. 16. Ceja E. 2. Ortiz C. 5. Alassane M. 6. Lay O. 24. Higareda S. 10. Ibarra M. 19. Anderson C. 17. Mariona J.	31. Kadono T. (G) 32. Ciotta N. 5. Brewitt T. 15. Espy T. (C) 2. Doody G. 25. Solis E. 4. Benalcazar N. 8. Sylla O. 10. Hegardt C. 11. MacKinnon L. 22. Marinch A.
Substitutes
20. Antwi G. 18. Aoumaich A. 11. Aoumaich I. 7. Desdunes J. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 41. Hernandez E. 32. Jahng E. 3. Ortiz A. 21. Villalobos J.	12. Bazini Y. 14. Cambridge B. 30. Castro J. 23. Doghman R. 13. Guimaraes P. 29. Kurnik O. 28. O'Brien F. 1. Rando A. (G) 21. War M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Brewitt T. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
33', Lay O. 🟨,
40', Lay O. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
40', Alassane M. ↓, Jahng E. ↑,
42', 1 - 1, Anderson C. ⚽, Jahng E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Mariona J. 🟨,
67', Higareda S. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
67', Mariona J. ↓, Aoumaich I. ↑,
68', Brewitt T. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Aoumaich I. ⚽,
77', Marinch A. ↓, Kurnik O. ↑,
77', Ciotta N. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
81', Anderson C. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
86', Villalobos J. 🟨,
89', Doody G. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Alta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orange County SC has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Orange County SC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, Alta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AV Alta FC
USL League One
30.05.26	Fort Wayne - AV Alta	0:0 ✺
USL Cup
27.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - AV Alta	2:0 ✺
USL League One
23.05.26	AV Alta - New York Cosmos	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - AV Alta	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWWW
- Orange County SC
USL Championship
23.05.26	Orange County SC - Oakland Roots	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
08.05.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Orange County SC	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Sacramento Republic - Orange County SC	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Orange County SC - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
15.04.25	AV Alta - Orange County SC	3:2 penalties

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