Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	AVS		Leixões

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	6
	1.55	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.61	3.79	6.52
	1.61	3.79	6.52
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.59	3.66	5.82
	1.55	3.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	3.66 ↑ (3.56)	5.96 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
59%

Draw
25.4%

Leixões
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

AVS - Leixões Predictions

Users Predictions: AVS will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 98. Ze Ricardo 47. Lucca J. 8. Bernardo 26. Lopes V. 7. Silva L. (C) 17. John Mercado 18. Nene	87. Ribeiro R. (G) 92. Rafael 4. Leo Bolgado 43. Danrlei 61. Amorim Gomes J. F. 27. Fabinho (C) 8. Freitas R. 13. Zagbayou H. 10. Paulite 84. Adriano Amorim 7. Conceicao M.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 77. Carlos Daniel 10. Dioh I. 2. Fonseca F. 23. Mendonca G. 6. Pacheco F. 9. Sangare B. 93. Simao (G) 5. Teixeira J.	99. Bright 2. Fabinho 88. Magalhaes A. 19. Marufdeen M. 11. Namora M. 80. Renato Luis 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 85. Teixeira R. 25. Wakaso A.
Coaches
Costa J.	Ribeiro P.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

AVS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leixões is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leixões could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AVS is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's AVS to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
31.12.23	Mafra - AVS	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
21.12.23	Benfica - AVS	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.12.23	AVS - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Porto B - AVS	2:3 ✺
02.12.23	AVS - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWWW
- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.12.23	Leixões - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.12.23	Porto - Leixões	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
17.12.23	Vilaverdense - Leixões	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Leixões - Feirense	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Torreense - Leixões	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLTT

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