Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 31 December 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mafra (Mafra)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Mafra		AVS

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.5	3	2.6	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.67	3.25	2.84
	2.68	3.25	2.84
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.54	3.2	2.69
	2.5	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.44)	3.14 (3.14)	2.69 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mafra
36.1%

Draw
29.5%

AVS
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	66.7%	11.1%

Mafra - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). AVS will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Olafsson E. (G) 19. Diao O. 5. Pedro Barcelos 66. Bak Jensen V. 4. Goulart J. 27. Nibe A. 6. Bravo P. 15. Guilherme (C) 20. Miguel Sousa 9. Almeida D. 8. Gabriel L.	88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 98. Ze Ricardo 47. Lucca J. 8. Bernardo 7. Silva L. (C) 26. Lopes V. 17. John Mercado 18. Nene
Substitutes
1. Andre Paulo (G) 80. Balburdia M. 3. Chriso 7. Dju M. 22. Gabriel Passos 70. Lind J. 77. Matos R. 11. Moreno J. 44. Texel P.	20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 2. Fonseca F. 23. Mendonca G. 6. Pacheco F. 9. Sangare B. 93. Simao (G) 5. Teixeira J. 3. Thiago Freitas
Coaches
Silas	Costa J.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mafra
Portuguese Liga 2
17.12.23	Oliveirense - Mafra	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
04.12.23	Feirense - Mafra	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Estoril Praia - Mafra	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Mafra - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese League Cup
21.12.23	Benfica - AVS	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
16.12.23	AVS - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
09.12.23	Porto B - AVS	2:3 ✺
02.12.23	AVS - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	AVS - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

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