Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	AVS		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.75
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.93	4.88
	1.71	3.93	4.88
	1.65	3.7	4.33
	1.67	3.8	4.53
	1.66	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.88)	3.76 ↑ (3.73)	4.57 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
55%

Draw
24.7%

Porto B
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.2%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

AVS - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Porto B will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AVS: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 41. Correia A. 40. Clayton 2. Fonseca F. 23. Mendonca G. 7. Silva L. (C) 11. Stenio 8. Bernardo 17. Mercado J. 18. Nene	91. Ribeiro G. (G) 72. Pinheiro R. 44. Correia R. (C) 73. Bras G. 66. Cassama A. 87. Folha B. 62. Fernandes R. 49. Sousa G. 86. Mora R. 98. Abraham M. 50. Wendell
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 10. Dioh I. 12. Farias E. 16. Mena Y. 6. Pacheco F. 93. Simao (G) 19. Talles Wander 5. Teixeira J. 90. Tunde Akinsola	46. Braima 95. Cande U. 96. Gui Guedes 61. Lacerda (G) 78. Meireles J. 77. Monteiro R. 54. Ribeiro A. 76. Rodrigues D. 92. Teixeira J.
Coaches
Costa J.	Folha A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Correia R. ⚽, Folha B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cassama A. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Wendell ⚽,
65', Stenio ↓, Tunde Akinsola ↑,
65', Silva L. ↓, Dioh I. ↑,
65', Mora R. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
68', Nene 🟥,
72', Wendell 🟨,
76', Leo Alaba ↓, Farias E. ↑,
76', Mendonca G. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
78', Fernandes R. ↓, Braima ↑,
79', Sousa G. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
80', Folha B. 🟨,
83', Fonseca F. ↓, Talles Wander ↑,
88', Wendell ↓, Cande U. ↑,
90+2', Clayton 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 9).

Recent matches AVS is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match AVS is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AVS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
13.04.24	Benfica B - AVS	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Nacional - AVS	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Oliveirense - AVS	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	AVS - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
14.04.24	Porto B - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
08.04.24	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Porto B - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Feirense - Porto B	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Porto B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
09.12.23	Porto B - AVS	2:3

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