Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino


	AVS		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.79	Watch
	4.45	3.35	1.82
	4.86	3.47	1.86
	4.63	3.48	1.82	Watch
	4.4	3.2	1.85
	4.73	3.43	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (5)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
20.6%

Draw
28%

Santa Clara
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

26.8%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

26.5%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

AVS - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Clara will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 33. Santos A. 3. Paulo Vitor 24. Kiki (C) 23. Mendonca G. 19. Galletto T. 70. Roni 21. Neiva G. 7. Tomane 20. Duarte D.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 23. Lima S. 94. Silva H. 5. Guilherme Romao 8. Ferreira P. 35. Serginho 10. Gabriel Silva 77. Gustavo Klismahn 49. Welinton Torrao 26. Fernando
Substitutes
11. Akinsola T. 25. Green A. 5. Molina G. 18. Nene 8. Pedro Lima 14. Perea O. 26. Ponck 12. Rivas D. 93. Simao (G)	11. Brenner 37. Darlan 2. Diogo Calila 7. Elias Manoel 12. Neneca (G) 4. Pacheco P. 39. Paciencia G. 21. Venancio F. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Henriques J.	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
45+3', Silva H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Galletto T. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
60', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
61', Neiva G. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
61', Duarte D. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
65', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
67', Mendonca G. ↓, Ponck ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
70', Silva H. ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
71', Fernando ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
83', Mateus Pivo ↓, Green A. ↑,
85', Gabriel Silva ↓, Darlan ↑,
85', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Brenner ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santa Clara is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	AVS - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Benfica - AVS	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	AVS - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Famalicão - AVS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWL
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
08.03.26	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Santa Clara - Benfica	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
25.10.25	Santa Clara - AVS	2:0
08.02.25	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2
31.08.24	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1
Portuguese Liga 2
30.03.24	AVS - Santa Clara	1:2
11.11.23	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1

AVS - Santa Clara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide