Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	AZ Alkmaar		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.25
	1.53	3.9	5.75
	1.56	4.6	5.3
	1.55	4.4	5.4
	1.57	4.63	5.4
	1.58	4.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	4.47 ↑ (3.57)	5.48 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
61.4%

Draw
21.3%

Bodø Glimt
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

16.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodø Glimt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AZ Alkmaar - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

2nd leg.

AZ was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (46%), has a chance of semis (24%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Bodø/Glimt was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (54%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 62, big importance 87, big match rating 74. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodø/Glimt is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bodø/Glimt have a series of home games.

In this match AZ is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
13.03.22	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Bodø Glimt - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
06.03.22	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.22	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.22	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Bodø Glimt - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
24.02.22	Bodø Glimt - Celtic	2:0 ✺
17.02.22	Celtic - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.22	Bodø Glimt - Elfsborg	3:2 ✺
03.02.22	Bodø Glimt - AGF Aarhus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.03.22	Bodø Glimt - AZ Alkmaar	2:1

Upcoming Matches