Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Canada	15:00	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	20:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	20:00	Oneplay
France	20:00	DAZN France
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 2
Germany	20:00	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	21:00	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	02:00	Vidio
Israel	21:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Kosovo	20:00	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	20:00	ESPN
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	20:00	Polsat Sport 2
Serbia	20:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	20:00	Sport TV1
Spain	20:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	20:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	21:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
International	19:00	OneFootball TV


	AZ Alkmaar		Twente

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3	Watch
	2.35	3.70	2.80
	2.18	3.65	3.05
	2.23	3.96	3.04
	2.17	3.91	2.98	Watch
	2.18	3.9	3
	2.18	3.86	3.09	Watch
	2.13	3.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)	3 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
43.3%

Draw
24.9%

Twente
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

25.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

AZ Alkmaar - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 35.2% – 84.8%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 4. Schouten L. 29. Hoedt W. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 21. Kwakman D. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 7. Weslley Patati 17. Byskov V. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.	16. Drommel J. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 4. Nijstad R. 29. Adelgaard A. 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Weidmann D. 11. Rots D. 10. Taha Y. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. Weghorst W.
Substitutes
54. Bergraaf J. 27. Bouziane W. 8. Clasie J. 75. de Wit H. 34. de Wit M. 31. Ichihara R. 30. Kasius D. 18. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 14. Stengs C.	18. Bawuah J. 31. Gerritsen Y. (G) 14. Hlynsson K. 39. Meilink J. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 7. Pjaca M. 2. Rosiak M. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
Coaches
Echteld L.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Daal R. 🟨,
19', Dijkstra E. 🟨,
43', Propper R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Weidmann D. 🟨,
63', Daal R. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
63', Hoedt W. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
70', Oufkir A. 🟨,
73', van Rooij B. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
73', Weghorst W. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
75', Dijkstra E. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
75', Byskov V. ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Orjasaeter S. ⚽, Taha Y. (A),
85', Taha Y. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
85', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
87', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
88', Weidmann D. 🟨,
90', Rots D. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ⚽, Drommel J. (A),

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 3.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AZ holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for AZ: Hornkamp J. (Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury) Smit K. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Twente: Bruns M. (Inactive) Lemkin S. (Muscle Injury) Thorvaldsen F. (Inactive) Unnerstall L. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for AZ: Clasie J. (Knock).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, AZ has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:23 (averaging 2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AZ against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 24:9 goals (averaging 2.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	10	6	2	2	19:10	9	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Twente: 6.55% AZ Alkmaar: 4.19%

Last Results with these Odds

AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
UEFA Europa League
22.10.26	Ararat-Armenia - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.26	Cambuur - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	AZ Alkmaar - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLW
- FC Twente
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Twente	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.26	Twente - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Twente - Thun	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
10.10.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Twente - Werder Bremen	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
03.05.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:1 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
30.11.25	Twente - AZ Alkmaar	1:0
25.05.25	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	3:2
14.05.25	Twente - AZ Alkmaar	2:3
21.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	1:0
05.05.24	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:1

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