Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Austria	14:30	DAZN
Belgium	14:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	10:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	15:30	Ring, Voyo
Canada	08:30	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	10:30	Disney+
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Croatia	14:30	SportKlub 3
Cyprus	15:30	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	14:30	DAZN France
Georgia	17:30	Silk Sport 2
Germany	14:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	15:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	21:30	myTV SUPER
Indonesia	20:30	Vidio
Israel	15:30	Sport 4
Italy	14:30	Como TV
Kenya	16:30	Gotv
Mexico	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	14:30	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	14:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	14:30	MaxTV GO
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Poland	14:30	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	13:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	TV Start
Serbia	14:30	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	14:30	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	14:30	Sport TV3
South Africa	15:30	SupeSport ESPN
Suriname	10:30	QN Sports
Switzerland	14:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor
United Kingdom	13:30	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	08:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	AZ Alkmaar		Ajax

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.75	Watch
	2.42	3.55	2.8
	2.41	3.68	2.88
	2.37	3.66	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.75
	2.4	3.67	2.84	Watch
	2.33	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.22)	3.59 ↓ (3.67)	2.8 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
39.9%

Draw
26.3%

Ajax
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	45.8%	33.3%

AZ Alkmaar - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 25%). Ajax (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ajax (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Ajax (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zoet J. (G) 2. Maikuma S. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 20. Boogaard K. 17. Jensen I. 33. Sin M. 27. Daal R. 9. Parrott T.	1. Jaros V. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 6. Regeer Y. 48. Steur S. 43. Bounida R. 9. Dolberg K. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
15. Chavez Garcia M. 31. Deen D. (G) 4. Dekker M. 22. Dijkstra E. 19. Hornkamp J. 18. Ichihara R. 24. Oufkir A. 56. Robbemond R. 11. Sadiq I. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 7. Weslley Patati	30. Bouwman A. 17. Edvardsen O. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 4. Itakura K. 24. Mokio J. 52. Reverson P. (G) 2. Rosa L. 32. Tomiyasu T. 25. Weghorst W. 47. Zinchenko O.
Coaches
Echteld L.	Grim F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Maikuma S. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sin M. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Goes W. ⚽,
59', de Wit M. 🟨,
66', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
73', Daal R. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
73', Jensen I. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
76', Steur S. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
76', Bounida R. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
76', Wijndal O. ↓, Zinchenko O. ↑,
89', Godts M. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Fitz-Jim K. ⚽, Edvardsen O. (A),
90+5', Sadiq I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29:13	16	21
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	6	2	2	20:12	8	20

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Ajax: 11.45% AZ Alkmaar: 4.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Twente	2:1 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Telstar - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWTL
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Excelsior - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
24.01.26	Ajax - Volendam	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Villarreal - Ajax	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.26	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	6:0
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	0:2
16.03.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	2:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
08.12.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:1
25.02.24	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:0
08.10.23	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	1:2

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