Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday


	Bodø Glimt		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.95	3.35	2.45
	2.85	3.15	2.55
	3	3.33	2.5
	2.62	3.4	2.37
	3.04	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.78)	3.26 ↓ (3.37)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
32.9%

Draw
29.1%

AZ Alkmaar
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

20.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for AZ Alkmaar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bodø Glimt - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Bodø/Glimt was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

AZ was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (73%), has a chance of semis (40%), has a chance of final (21%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has quality 62, big importance 74, match rating 68. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Bodø/Glimt in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AZ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bodø/Glimt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.02.22	Bodø Glimt - Celtic	2:0 ✺
17.02.22	Celtic - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.22	Bodø Glimt - Elfsborg	3:2 ✺
03.02.22	Bodø Glimt - AGF Aarhus	1:0 ✺
27.01.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWWWT
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
06.03.22	NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.22	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.22	AZ Alkmaar - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	AZ Alkmaar - Heracles Almelo	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

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