Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kristjansson I. O. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	18:45	SportKlub 7
Finland	19:45	Ilves TV
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 5
United Kingdom	17:45	Solidsport TV


	AZ Alkmaar		Ilves

	1	X	2
	1.09	11	15	Watch
	1.12	9	14	Watch
	1.05	11	26	Watch
	1.1	10.24	13
	1.09	10.92	16.63	Watch
	1.14	8	17
	1.09	12.7	21	Watch
	1.16	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.16)	9.81 ↑ (6.2)	16.83 ↑ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
84.9%

Draw
9.6%

Ilves
5.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.4%

14.5%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

AZ Alkmaar - Ilves Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Ilves (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ilves (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zoet J. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 10. Mijnans S. 26. Smit K. 7. Poku E. 9. Parrott T. 27. Daal R.	1. Virtanen O. (C) 22. Maenpaa A. 5. Vaisanen S. 3. Rale M. 19. Jukkola O. 14. Popovitch A. 7. Veteli J. 23. Raymond A. 30. Kanga J. 17. Soderback M. 10. Riski Ro.
Substitutes
28. Buurmeester Z. 15. Chavez Garcia M. 31. Deen D. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 17. Jensen I. 6. Koopmeiners P. 21. Kwakman D. 35. Meerdink M. 11. Sadiq I. 12. Verhulst H. (G)	9. Hytonen T. 28. Kilo J. 12. Krkalic F. (G) 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. 8. Stjopin M. 20. Tiitinen O. 18. Ulundu V. 32. Vayrynen L. (G) 13. Wallius K.
Coaches
Martens M.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
11', Parrott T. 🟨,
17', Mijnans S. 🟨,
17', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
36', 3 - 0, Poku E. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
42', 4 - 0, Kasius D. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
45', Daal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Raymond A. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
58', Clasie J. ↓, Koopmeiners P. ↑,
58', Daal R. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
58', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
61', Rale M. 🟨,
67', Kasius D. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
69', Veteli J. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
69', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, de Wit M. ⚽, Meerdink M. (A),
75', Smit K. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
79', Maenpaa A. ↓, Kumpu V. ↑,
80', Vaisanen S. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.

AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ilves is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AZ has had a series of home games.

In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AZ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Club Friendly
26.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Ilves - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	3:2 ✺
09.07.25	AZ Alkmaar - Aris	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWW
- FC Ilves
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Ilves - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
20.07.25	FF Jaro - Ilves	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
14.07.25	Ilves - VPS Vaasa	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.07.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Ilves - AZ Alkmaar	4:3

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