Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	AZ Alkmaar		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5
	1.48	4.6	6.25
	1.5	4.7	5.9
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.5	4.53	6.61
	1.47	4.4	6.5
	1.5	4.85	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	4.62 ↓ (5.06)	6.33 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
64.3%

Draw
20.6%

Rijeka
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.1%

16.1%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.4%	11.5%	13.1%

AZ Alkmaar - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 46 - 75.4%). Rijeka will win (votes: 8 - 13.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 64.6% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

AZ has a chance of round of 32 (49%), has a chance of round of 16 (17%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rijeka has a very small chance of round of 32 (1%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches AZ is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rijeka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently AZ have a series of guest games.

In this match AZ is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.20	ADO Den Haag - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Napoli - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.10.20	AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
04.10.20	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	4:4 ✺
26.09.20	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TWTTT
- HNK Rijeka
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Rijeka - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
17.10.20	Rijeka - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
07.10.20	Dilj - Rijeka	0:6 ✺
Croatian HNL
04.10.20	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Copenhagen - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW

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