Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Llantwit Major		Cambrian United

	1	X	2
	9.2	5.5	1.21
	5.56	7.52	1.27
	8.03	6.34	1.27	Watch
	8.5	6	1.2
	9.8	7.1	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.22 ↑ (7.93)	6.49 ↓ (6.58)	1.22 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llantwit Major
11.1%

Draw
14.1%

Cambrian United
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

14.2%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Llantwit Major - Cambrian United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Thomas F. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Edwards D. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Stokes T. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', Goldsworthy C. 🟥,
88', 1 - 3, Bonthron A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 1.

Llantwit Major is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cambrian United is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Llantwit Major may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambrian United is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
04.04.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Llantwit Major - Caerau Ely	1:4 ✺
20.03.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	2:3 ✺
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW
- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
03.04.26	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Ammanford - Cambrian United	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cambrian United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Trefelin - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
13.03.26	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	2:1
21.03.25	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	1:0
26.12.24	Llantwit Major - Cambrian United	2:2
04.11.23	Llantwit Major - Cambrian United	2:2
28.10.23	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	1:2
26.11.22	Llantwit Major - Cambrian United	3:1
29.08.22	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	2:1

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