Match Info

Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Pontardawe Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.25
	1.86	4.55	2.99
	1.89	3.98	3.45	Watch
	1.84	4.5	2.95
	1.9	4.05	3.37
	1.8	3.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)	4.13 ↑ (3.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
49.4%

Draw
22.1%

Pontardawe Town
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontardawe Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Thomas J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Jones T. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 2, Dorward J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 1 - 3, Stone J. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Thomas J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 15th).

Trethomas Bluebirds has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pontardawe has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Trethomas Bluebirds is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10
11	Pontardawe	8	3	0	5	14:16	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerphilly Athletic	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	5:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWL
- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.26	Pontardawe Town - Treowen Stars	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	Pure Swansea - Pontardawe Town	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Newport City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

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