The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aberystwyth Town 40%
Draw 25.7%
Caerau Ely 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
25.7%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
24.5%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd and 4th).
Aberystwyth has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Caerau shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aberystwyth may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Aberystwyth has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aberystwyth against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:4 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Aberystwyth
8
6
1
1
22:8
14
19
4
Caerau Ely
9
5
1
3
21:18
3
16
Last Results with these Odds
Aberystwyth Town - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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