Match Info

Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.7	2.8
	2.02	4.02	2.88
	2.1	3.93	2.95	Watch
	2	3.95	2.85
	2.04	3.7	2.87
	2.07	3.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.98)	3.87 ↑ (3.74)	2.87 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
44.6%

Draw
23.6%

Cardiff Draconians
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Ferreira N. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Ferreira N. ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Cawley S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, Taylor B. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 13th).

In recent outings, Trethomas Bluebirds has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Trethomas Bluebirds may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Trethomas Bluebirds has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 2:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Trethomas Bluebirds against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Trethomas Bluebirds	11	4	4	3	23:19	4	16
15	Cardiff Draconians	9	2	3	4	12:17	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh FA Cup
16.10.26	Cambrian United - Trethomas Bluebirds	5:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Treowen Stars - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontardawe Town	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerphilly Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTT
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Cardiff Draconians - Carmarthen Town	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.04.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cardiff Draconians	4:4
25.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0

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