Match Info

Cymru South - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.65	3.1
	1.91	3.97	3.17
	1.97	4.02	3.18	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.1
	1.94	4.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	3.89 ↑ (3.77)	3.14 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
47.4%

Draw
23.5%

Cardiff Draconians
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

24%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

23.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+2%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Bowen D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Shaw J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Amin D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, James T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 2 - 3, Bowen D. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 3 - 3, Shaw J. ⚽,
65', 3 - 4, Cawley S. ⚽,
79', 4 - 4, Shaw J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9).

Trethomas Bluebirds has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cardiff Draconians's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trethomas Bluebirds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cardiff Draconians has had a series of home games.

Trethomas Bluebirds could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trethomas Bluebirds won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
20.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
09.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Carmarthen Town	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWL
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	0:1 ✺
24.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Ynyshir Albions	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Trefelin	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Carmarthen Town	2:3 ✺
06.03.26	Ammanford - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
25.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0

Upcoming Matches