Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)


	Académica Coimbra		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.25
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.9	3.4	2.16
	2.7	3.4	2.33
	2.9	3.71	2.39
	2.88	3.25	2.2
	2.82	3.52	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
32.6%

Draw
26.7%

Farense
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.3%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Académica Coimbra - Farense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Académica won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Académica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
08.05.22	Trofense - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Chaves - Académica Coimbra	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.05.22	Farense - Varzim	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Farense - Chaves	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Nacional - Farense	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Farense - Mafra	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Casa Pia - Farense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.02.22	Farense - Académica Coimbra	3:1
09.11.19	Académica Coimbra - Farense	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
27.07.19	Académica Coimbra - Farense	2:1 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.19	Académica Coimbra - Farense	1:0
23.09.18	Farense - Académica Coimbra	0:2

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