The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casa Pia 51.2%
Draw 28%
Farense 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
29.1%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
29.5%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casa Pia's performance.
Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casa Pia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.1%
42.1%
15.8%
Casa Pia - Farense Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Farense will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sequeira P. (G) 4. Goulart J. 3. Kluivert R. 19. Zolotic N. 18. Geraldes A. (C) 89. Kraev A. 17. Brito R. 7. Moreira N. 5. Lelo L. 9. Svensson M. 90. Cassiano
33. Velho R. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 4. Jorge A. 3. Moreno M. 28. Pastor 29. Claudio Falcao 93. Menino M. 2. Paulo Victor 79. Merghem M. 14. Poveda D. 7. Balde E.
Substitutes
33. Batista R. (G) 16. Beni 6. Fonte J. 72. Larrazabal G. 29. Livolant J. 14. Miguel Sousa 80. Pablo Roberto 52. Pereira H. 8. Segovia T.
8. Barbosa R. 11. Bermejo A. 23. Canizares L. (G) 31. Derick Poloni 16. Geovanny 71. Jaiminho 77. Matias M. 34. Raul Silva 70. Rivaldo
Coaches
Pereira J.
Marreco T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Brito R. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Balde E. ⚽, Poveda D. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Cassiano (Pen),
42', Merghem M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Kraev A. 🟨,
64', Kraev A. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
64', Svensson M. ↓, Livolant J. ↑,
64', Merghem M. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
64', Balde E. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
72', Paulo Victor 🟨,
77', Moreno M. 🟨,
82', Geraldes A. ↓, Larrazabal G. ↑,
82', Brito R. ↓, Beni ↑,
83', Poveda D. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
85', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
89', Cassiano ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
90+2', Menino M. ↓, Geovanny ↑,
90+2', Paulo Victor ↓, Derick Poloni ↑,
90+6', Kluivert R. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 4.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.
There will not play in Casa Pia: Mendes C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Farense: Barbosa R.
(Injury)
Matias M.
(Injury)
Neto
(Yellow Cards)
Soares F.
(Injury)
Tomane
(Injury)
There are questionable in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Pereira H.
(Injury)
Tchamba D.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Farense: Kaique Pereira
(Forearm injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).
Finland
Portugal
Romania
Ukraine
Watch
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Sequeira P. (G) 
Goulart J. 
Kluivert R. 
Zolotic N. 
Kraev A. 
Svensson M. 
Cassiano 
Merghem M. 
Balde E. 
Batista R. (G) 
Segovia T. 
Rivaldo 
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