Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Farense		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.37	2.95	2.8
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.55	3	2.75
	2.62	3.32	2.86
	2.4	2.88	2.9
	2.57	2.99	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.45)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.79 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
36.8%

Draw
30.3%

Varzim
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Farense - Varzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Varzim will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.22	Farense - Chaves	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Nacional - Farense	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Farense - Mafra	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Casa Pia - Farense	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Farense - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.22	Varzim - Covilhã	0:2 ✺
25.04.22	Trofense - Varzim	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Varzim - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
08.04.22	Penafiel - Varzim	4:1 ✺
04.04.22	Varzim - Porto B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.22	Varzim - Farense	0:1
Club Friendly
06.07.21	Farense - Varzim	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
16.11.19	Varzim - Farense	1:3
10.03.19	Farense - Varzim	3:0
04.11.18	Varzim - Farense	1:1
10.04.16	Varzim - Farense	2:2
29.11.15	Farense - Varzim	0:0

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